Regional Stability and Security Challenges
Internal stability challenges across Central Asia and the South Caucuses encompass conflict dynamics, governance vulnerabilities, and violent extremism threats. Our research analyzes these factors and their implications for regional security.
Fragile Foundations
Many states in Central Asia and the South Caucuses face significant governance challenges, including weak institutions, contested legitimacy, and unresolved territorial disputes. These vulnerabilities make them susceptible to internal unrest and external manipulation. The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, periodic crises in Kazakhstan, and tensions across the region demonstrate how quickly instability can escalate when underlying weaknesses remain unresolved.
The Extremism Threat
Violent extremist organizations, including Islamic State affiliates, have found recruits and operational space in Central Asia and the North Caucasus. Economic marginalization, governance failures, and regional conflicts create conditions conducive for radicalization. Addressing this threat requires understanding its local drivers and developing responses that target root causes alongside security measures.
