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The Global Forecast Monitor

The Global Forecast Monitor contains all forecast publications produced by New Lines Institute related to geopolitical hotspots around the world and their global connectivity implications. These publications include the Weekly Forecast Monitor, the Global Hotspots podcast, and Quarterly and Annual Forecast Reports. To learn more about forecast reports and analytical products from New Lines Institute — including briefings, simulations, and training sessions — contact us at [email protected].  

Latest Analyses

2025 Third Quarter Forecast Update

The third quarter of 2025 will be headlined by the ripple effects of military escalation between Israel and Iran, as…

Global Hotspots: Iran and Gaza Tensions Linger; U.S. Threatens New Global Tariffs 

https://soundcloud.com/newlinesinstitute/global-hotspots-iran-and-gaza-tensions-linger-us-threatens-new-global-tariffs This week in the Middle East, Iran questioned cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency and reportedly received a…

Weekly Forecast Monitor: July 11, 2025

This week in the Middle East, Iran questioned cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency and reportedly received a delivery…

Global Hotspots: Q3 Forecast Outlook 

The third quarter of 2025 will be headlined by the ripple effects of military escalation between Israel and Iran, as well as U.S. intervention, while regional states will seek to push for a diplomatic agreement over Iran’s nuclear program.

Global Hotspots: U.S. Weighs Direct Involvement in Israel/Iran Conflict

This week, Israel escalated its military campaign against Iran’s nuclear and military infrastructure, while the U.S. weighed potential involvement in the conflict. In the Indo-Pacific, Taiwan added Chinese companies to its export blacklist, limiting their access to advanced microchips, while concerns lingered over the impact of Chinese rare earth elements export curbs despite last week’s U.S./China trade agreement. In the Russia/Ukraine war, Ukrainian operations halted Russian advances on Sumy, while leaders of the G7 discussed new sanctions against Russia.

Weekly Forecast Monitor: June 20, 2025

This week, Israel escalated its military campaign against Iran’s nuclear and military infrastructure, while the U.S. weighed potential involvement in…