Jeff Hawn is an independent geopolitical risk consultant and international history Ph.D. candidate at the London School of Economics. His research is centered on the Russian constitutional crisis of 1993 and the emergence of the post-Cold War world order.
Recent constitutional reforms in Russia have been widely portrayed as a consolidation of President Vladimir Putin’s personal power, but an analysis of the measures shows a country preparing for an eventual end to Putin’s rule — as well as looming economic, demographic, and sociopolitical crises.
This Newlines Institute for Strategy and Policy podcast reviews the unfolding military escalation on the Russian-Ukrainian border, as Russian forces
Russia cannot compete with other global powers militarily, but it can serve as a chronic disruptor of their interests. Moscow’s strategy is not to dominate its opponents – mainly the United States – but to keep them off balance by applying diplomatic, economic, military, and political pressure.
The death of George Floyd on May 25 during his arrest by Minneapolis police has sparked both protests and rioting across the United States reminiscent of the unrest of 1968.