The Iraq-Syria Withdrawal Project
As the U.S. seeks to draw down its presence in the Middle East, particularly amid regional escalation, there is a greater likelihood for the withdrawal of U.S. troops and termination of the Counter ISIS Operation Inherent Resolve Mission in Iraq and Syria. While the U.S. has laid out an incremental reconsolidation and drawdown process for its near 2,500 forces stationed in Iraq, it has no clear plan for its 2,000 forces stationed in Northeast Syria. The Iraq Syria Withdrawal Project seeks to answer pressing questions through thought leadership and expertise, generating analyses about the spectrum of risks and opportunities that exist within a drawdown process under Operation Inherent Resolve. Drawing from experts with extensive experience navigating Iraq and Syria's complex security landscapes, this project generates reports, articles, podcasts, and events illuminating pathways that American policymakers and military leaders can seize upon to ensure a responsible way forward.
Unanswered Questions
Among the many unknowns: how will partner force capacity be affected by the removal of American intelligence provision, air cover, and assistance? How can the U.S. facilitate a drawdown in Iraq and Syria that does not repeat the same mistakes made during the 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal? How can Washington protect its partners and communities on the ground from malign and adversarial actors while executing its departure, ensuring local stability and human security?
Charting a Responsible Path
The project examines both the risks and opportunities inherent in a drawdown under Operation Inherent Resolve. By leveraging regional expertise and sustained analysis, the project offers policymakers and military leaders actionable guidance on protecting U.S. interests, supporting local partners, and avoiding the pitfalls of previous withdrawal processes.
