Skip to content

Part 2/2 – U.S. Domestic Political Stability and Security: A Strategic Estimate for 2024 and Beyond

NAMPA, IDAHO – Sunday, June 9, 2024 : Members of the Idaho Libe
Members of the Idaho Liberty Dogs, a far-right extremist group, wear guns on their hips as they protest outside of the first ever Pride festival in Canyon County. (Photo by Kyle Green for The Washington Post via Getty Images)

This is Part 2 of a 2-part report. Find the 1st part here

Ahead of the U.S. presidential election, sociopolitical actors and movements are contributing to the already toxic political and social environment. External shocks, such as the conflicts in Ukraine and between Israel and Hamas, are adding fuel to the fire, as are emerging technologies in the hands of bad actors. In this analysis, the second part of a two-part report on U.S. political instability and security, Daryl Johnson and Alejandro Beutel examine these factors and how they affect the likelihood of political violence both before and after the election. The authors encourage policymakers to remain vigilant, prepared, and conscientious of this ever-evolving threat. Divisive and violent political rhetoric and general allowance of the continuation of these contributing factors will see a continued high threat landscape. 

Related Articles

Conflict-Related Sexual And Reproductive Violence In Tigray

Conflict-Related Sexual And Reproductive Violence In Tigray

Read the full report Here Executive Summary Sexual and reproductive violence inflicted on women, girls, men, boys, and LGBTQI+ persons

Dayton Plus: A Policymaker’s Guide to Constitutional Reform in Bosnia and Herzegovina 

Dayton Plus: A Policymaker’s Guide to Constitutional Reform in Bosnia and Herzegovina 

Read the full report Here To date, the U.S. and the EU have based their policy toward Bosnia and Herzegovina

Resolving Accountability Over Russian State Assets: New Understandings of Jurisdiction and Policy Opportunities

Resolving Accountability Over Russian State Assets: New Understandings of Jurisdiction and Policy Opportunities

Download the Special Report Here Almost three years into Russia’s illegal full-scale invasion of Ukraine, approximately $300 billion in frozen

Inside the State Department’s Israel Policymaking Process 

Inside the State Department’s Israel Policymaking Process 

People holding Palestinian flags and banners gather in front of the U.S. Department of State in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 9, 2023, to demonstrate in support of Palestinians. (Photo by Celal Gunes/Anadolu via Getty Images)