Managing Regime Evolution in Iran

The evolutionary regime-change process that has been underway in Iran for the past several years is intensifying under the weight of internal and external pressures. It is highly likely that the IRGC-led military/security establishment will supplant the clergy as the dominant power center once current supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei leaves power, with serious implications for stability in the country and in its strategic environs. This project examines how Iran will behave in the fast-approaching post-Khamenei era and how the United States can manage the country and the region.