INNOVATE

The technologies that will reshape geopolitical competition over the next decade are emerging now, often in research domains that receive limited policy attention until breakthroughs force reactive responses. Quantum computing threatens to upend current encryption standards. Advanced AI architectures may transform military operations in ways we are only beginning to understand. Space is becoming an increasingly contested domain where technological capabilities determine strategic positioning. The INNOVATE workstream tracks these frontier developments, analyzing their trajectories and translating their implications for policymakers before they become crises.

Our analysis focuses on technologies where early strategic positioning could yield lasting advantages or where failure to anticipate developments could create dangerous vulnerabilities. INNOVATE examines not just what is technically possible but what is strategically consequential, identifying the governance frameworks, investment priorities, and international cooperation mechanisms needed to ensure emerging technologies develop in alignment with democratic values and U.S. interests.