Emil Avdaliani is a professor at European University and the Director of Middle East Studies at Georgian think tank Geocase. Before joining Geocase, Emil worked for various consulting companies, including Stratfor. He tweets at @emilavdaliani.
Statements and actions indicate that Armenia and Turkey are interested in improving relations – possibly even opening their shared border, which would be a game-changer for the South Caucasus. However, Azerbaijan’s role in Turkey’s decision-making process regarding Armenia, along with outside players’ desire to protect their own interests in the region, will make rapprochement difficult.