Implications of an Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Deal
An agreement between longtime foes Baku and Yerevan could have wide-reaching consequences for the South Caucasus.
Emil Avdaliani is a professor at European University and the Director of Middle East Studies at Georgian think tank Geocase. Before joining Geocase, Emil worked for various consulting companies, including Stratfor. He tweets at @emilavdaliani.
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Armenia and Turkey Lean Toward Rapprochement, but Constraints Linger
Statements and actions indicate that Armenia and Turkey are interested in improving relations – possibly even opening their shared border, which would be a game-changer for the South Caucasus. However, Azerbaijan’s role in Turkey’s decision-making process regarding Armenia, along with outside players’ desire to protect their own interests in the region, will make rapprochement difficult.