Skip to content

Geopolitical Forecasting & Risk Management Platform

New Lines Institute has partnered with AI start-up Mantis Analytics to launch an AI-powered platform to forecast geopolitical trends and simulate their impacts. The platform, and suite of accompanying services, is designed for stakeholders across industries, governments, universities and civil society who seek to mitigate risk and make decisions amid political, economic and security uncertainty. It demonstrates how geopolitical shocks may cascade and offers a structured environment for testing resilience and readiness of policy and business plans.

The New Lines Geopolitical Forecasting and Advisory Unit (GFAU) also produces a set of forecast publications related to geopolitical hotspots around the world and their global connectivity implications. These publications include a Weekly Forecast Monitor, the Global Hotspots podcast, and Quarterly and Annual Forecast Reports. To learn more about forecast reports and analytical products from New Lines Institute — including briefings, simulations, and training sessions — contact us at [email protected] or register below.

Latest Analyses

2025 Fourth Quarter Forecast Report

The fourth quarter of 2025 will be headlined by the potential for military escalation in the Middle East, hybrid escalation…

Global Hotspots: Trump Meets with Saudi Crown Prince to Sign New Bilateral Deal

This week, U.S. President Donald Trump met with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, approving the sale of F-35 fighter jets and designating Saudi Arabia as a major non-NATO ally. The U.N. Security Council passed a resolution to implement Trump’s 20-point peace plan in Gaza, while clashes between Israel and Hamas continued. In the Indo-Pacific, the U.S. removed reciprocal tariffs from several imports from the Philippines and confirmed the sale of a missile system to Taiwan. In the Russia/Ukraine conflict, Poland blamed Russian operatives for sabotaging its railways, while U.S. officials met with their Ukrainian counterparts in Kyiv to discuss a new peace plan.

Weekly Forecast Monitor: Nov. 21, 2025

This week, U.S. President Donald Trump met with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, approving the sale of F-35 fighter jets…

Weekly Forecast Monitor: Nov. 14, 2025

This week in the Middle East, clashes between Hamas and the Israel Defense Forces hindered implementation of the U.S.-brokered Gaza…

Global Hotspots: U.S.-Syria Diplomacy Progresses Amid Middle East Turbulence

https://soundcloud.com/newlinesinstitute/global-hotspots-us-syria-diplomacy-progresses-amid-middle-east-turbulence/s-95JzecDTsAX?si=0c4113b6c75e4ec18548e3d2a0494dda&utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=social_sharing This week in the Middle East, clashes between Hamas and the Israel Defense Forces hindered implementation of the U.S.-brokered…

Global Hotspots: U.S. Pushes Postwar Plan for Gaza

This week, in the Middle East the U.S. presented the U.N. Security Council with a draft resolution advancing the implementation of the “Board of Peace” as part of the Israel/Gaza ceasefire agreement, while Iran stated it would not engage in negotiations with the U.S. so long as Washington backs Israel. In the Indo-Pacific, China has started to remove tariffs and trade barriers following last week’s agreement between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, while U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth reached military cooperation agreements with China and Vietnam, while also preparing one with South Korea. In the Russia/Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian drone attacks forced Russia to suspend some oil refining and export operations, while intense fighting continued near Pokrovsk amid a Russian push to capture the city.